Projected pay for Machinists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today $58,750 → in 3 years $64,000 → in 5 years $67,800 → in 10 years $78,200 (10-year range $67,300–$90,800). The model assumes pay growth of +2.9% per year.
$58,750
Now 2026
$64,000
In 3 yrs 2029
$59,100–$69,700
$67,800
In 5 yrs 2031
$61,100–$75,500
$78,200
In 10 yrs 2036
$67,300–$90,800
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.15%AI impact +0.05%Total +2.9% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Machinists
47/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #554 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
46 pts
AI resistance
57 pts
Entry barrier
53 pts
Annual openings
52 pts
Projected growth
33 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Machinists
Employment
287K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
291K
2025–35
Projected change
+1.0%
ranked #544 for growth
Annual openings
26K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
49/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Perform work involving the skills of two or more maintenance or craft occupations to keep machines, mechanical equipment, or the structure of a building in repair.
Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators.
Inspect, test, sort, sample, or weigh nonagricultural raw materials or processed, machined, fabricated, or assembled parts or products for defects, wear, and deviations from specifications.
Repair, install, adjust, or maintain industrial production and processing machinery or refinery and pipeline distribution systems.
$64,520
74/100
26%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.