Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $57,400 · outlook score 41/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Office & Admin Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$45,930
25th–75th pct. $38,570–$50,580
Top pay (est.)
$78,700
Top 10% $60,530
Pay in 5 years
$51,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$57,400est.
$49,400–$66,700
Outlook score
41/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
76%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.8%
89K openings / yr

Projected pay for Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $45,930 → in 3 years $49,100 → in 5 years $51,400 → in 10 years $57,400 (10-year range $49,400–$66,700). The model assumes pay growth of +2.3% per year.

$45,930
Now
2026
$49,100
In 3 yrs
2029
$45,300–$53,400
$51,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$46,300–$57,200
$57,400
In 10 yrs
2036
$49,400–$66,700

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.04%AI impact -0.78%Total +2.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants

41/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #648 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
21 pts
AI resistance
24 pts
Entry barrier
24 pts
Annual openings
54 pts
Projected growth
70 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants

Employment
962K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
1.0M
2025–35
Projected change
+4.8%
ranked #246 for growth
Annual openings
89K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
70/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.