Sales Managers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $191,200 · outlook score 58/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Marketing & PR Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$148,270
25th–75th pct. $100,360–$207,340
Top pay (est.)
$377,700
Top 10% $290,540
Pay in 5 years
$168,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$191,200est.
$164,400–$222,000
Outlook score
58/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
65%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.5%
47K openings / yr

Projected pay for Sales Managers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $148,270 → in 3 years $160,000 → in 5 years $168,400 → in 10 years $191,200 (10-year range $164,400–$222,000). The model assumes pay growth of +2.6% per year.

$148,270
Now
2026
$160,000
In 3 yrs
2029
$147,800–$174,100
$168,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$151,700–$187,500
$191,200
In 10 yrs
2036
$164,400–$222,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.03%AI impact -0.45%Total +2.6% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Sales Managers

58/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #284 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
95 pts
AI resistance
35 pts
Entry barrier
87 pts
Annual openings
25 pts
Projected growth
67 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Sales Managers

Employment
637K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
679K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.5%
ranked #266 for growth
Annual openings
47K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
60/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.