Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Will AI replace automotive service technicians and mechanics?AI replacement risk 27% and how the work is changing

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$50,620
25th–75th pct. $38,900–$70,430
Top pay (est.)
$106,300
Top 10% $81,790
Pay in 5 years
$59,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$69,500est.
$59,800–$80,700
Outlook score
61/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
27%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+5.0%
66K openings / yr

Will AI replace Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics? AI replacement risk

27%
Low
Ranked #217 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics

Key skills

Repairing
3.9
Troubleshooting
3.9
Critical Thinking
3.8
Equipment Maintenance
3.6
Installation
3.4
Quality Control Analysis
3.2
Complex Problem Solving
3.1
Operations Monitoring
3.1

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Mechanical
5.3
Computers and Electronics
3.7
Mathematics
3.5
Engineering and Technology
3.5
Education and Training
2.9
Chemistry
2.6
Physics
2.6
Administration and Management
2.4

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsControlling Machines and ProcessesPerforming General Physical ActivitiesRepairing and Maintaining Mechanical EquipmentUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeRepairing and Maintaining Electronic EquipmentInspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsOperating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Important abilities

Extent FlexibilityOral ComprehensionNear VisionVisualizationFinger DexterityDeductive Reasoning

Training before entry

1–3 months
26%
Up to 1 month
26%
2–4 years
15%
None / short demo
12%
3–6 months
12%
4–10 years
5%
Over 10 years
3%

Related work experience

1–2 years
43%
None
26%
2–4 years
9%
6–12 months
6%
6–8 years
5%
3–6 months
5%
4–6 years
5%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.