Annual pay growth rate from the Shigoto Zukan model (base wage growth + labor demand + wage momentum − AI impact). (867 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492 | Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers Construction · 14K workers |
$58,970 | $78,200est. | 48/100 | 7% | −5.3% |
| 492 | Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood Manufacturing & Repair · 41K workers |
$42,770 | $56,700est. | 40/100 | 35% | −1.0% |
| 503 | Bioengineers and Biomedical Engineers Engineering & Science · 23K workers |
$109,370 | $144,900est. | 60/100 | 61% | +7.6% |
| 503 | Hydrologic Technicians Engineering & Science · 2,840 workers |
$64,790 | $85,800est. | 55/100 | 35% | −1.3% |
| 503 | Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$44,810 | $59,300est. | 41/100 | 46% | +0.4% |
| 506 | Area, Ethnic, and Cultural Studies Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 11K workers |
$85,020 | $112,600est. | 58/100 | 53% | +2.7% |
| 506 | Fashion Designers Fashion · 21K workers |
$80,960 | $107,100est. | 56/100 | 46% | +0.1% |
| 506 | Pharmacy Aides Caregiving · 40K workers |
$37,680 | $49,900est. | 40/100 | 40% | −0.7% |
| 506 | Postal Service Mail Carriers Logistics · 329K workers |
$60,550 | $80,100est. | 33/100 | 43% | −0.3% |
| 506 | Fishing and Hunting Workers Fishing · 28K workers |
— | —est. | 49/100 | 16% | −4.2% |
| 506 | Construction and Building Inspectors Construction · 147K workers |
$74,690 | $98,800est. | 52/100 | 45% | +0.0% |
| 506 | Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment Manufacturing & Repair · 65K workers |
$74,090 | $98,000est. | 45/100 | 47% | +0.3% |
| 506 | Furniture Finishers Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$44,540 | $58,900est. | 44/100 | 22% | −3.5% |
| 506 | Production Workers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 252K workers |
$40,110 | $53,100est. | 40/100 | 50% | +0.8% |
| 515 | Financial Managers Management & Consulting · 842K workers |
$166,570 | $220,300est. | 65/100 | 65% | +9.7% |
| 515 | Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary Management & Consulting · 328K workers |
$105,870 | $139,900est. | 50/100 | 44% | −0.3% |
| 515 | Gambling Managers Management & Consulting · 5,030 workers |
$93,220 | $123,200est. | 60/100 | 55% | +3.6% |
| 515 | Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians Engineering & Science · 36K workers |
$74,510 | $98,500est. | 49/100 | 51% | +1.3% |
| 515 | Mathematical Science Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 48K workers |
$79,940 | $105,600est. | 52/100 | 52% | +1.7% |
| 515 | Engineering Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 40K workers |
$109,270 | $144,400est. | 69/100 | 62% | +7.8% |
| 515 | Physics Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 13K workers |
$100,310 | $132,600est. | 56/100 | 53% | +2.4% |
| 515 | Foreign Language and Literature Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 20K workers |
$79,350 | $104,900est. | 51/100 | 47% | +0.2% |
| 515 | Special Education Teachers, Secondary School Education · 164K workers |
$74,260 | $98,100est. | 44/100 | 45% | −0.2% |
| 515 | First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers Protective Services · 53K workers |
$77,970 | $103,100est. | 46/100 | 29% | −2.5% |
| 515 | Counter and Rental Clerks Retail · 401K workers |
$41,300 | $54,600est. | 44/100 | 54% | +3.0% |
| 515 | Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Manufacturing & Repair · 77K workers |
$46,680 | $61,700est. | 41/100 | 27% | −2.9% |
| 515 | Model Makers, Wood Manufacturing & Repair · 280 workers |
$56,550 | $74,800est. | 56/100 | 24% | −3.3% |
| 515 | Crushing, Grinding, and Polishing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 26K workers |
$48,540 | $64,100est. | 38/100 | 35% | −1.7% |
| 515 | Conveyor Operators and Tenders Logistics · 23K workers |
$42,420 | $56,100est. | 38/100 | 28% | −2.6% |
| 530 | Administrative Services Managers Management & Consulting · 264K workers |
$114,130 | $150,700est. | 60/100 | 58% | +5.2% |
| 530 | Management Analysts Management & Consulting · 898K workers |
$101,860 | $134,600est. | 69/100 | 66% | +10.1% |
| 530 | Chemists Engineering & Science · 83K workers |
$91,240 | $120,500est. | 60/100 | 60% | +6.4% |
| 530 | Rehabilitation Counselors Social Services · 95K workers |
$46,850 | $61,900est. | 45/100 | 53% | +2.2% |
| 530 | Business Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 82K workers |
$99,080 | $130,900est. | 66/100 | 59% | +5.9% |
| 530 | Psychology Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 42K workers |
$80,340 | $106,100est. | 60/100 | 56% | +4.0% |
| 530 | Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education Education · 620K workers |
$64,370 | $85,000est. | 40/100 | 45% | −0.4% |
| 530 | Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 5,970 workers |
$63,870 | $84,300est. | 45/100 | 25% | −3.4% |
| 538 | Anthropology and Archeology Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 5,240 workers |
$99,650 | $131,500est. | 54/100 | 54% | +2.6% |
| 538 | English Language and Literature Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 58K workers |
$78,760 | $104,000est. | 50/100 | 48% | +0.0% |
| 538 | Philosophy and Religion Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 20K workers |
$80,260 | $105,900est. | 54/100 | 53% | +2.0% |
| 538 | Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products Agriculture · 25K workers |
$35,730 | $47,100est. | 42/100 | 26% | −3.4% |
| 542 | Architectural and Engineering Managers Management & Consulting · 220K workers |
$171,270 | $225,900est. | 62/100 | 59% | +5.5% |
| 542 | Calibration Technologists and Technicians Engineering & Science · 17K workers |
$67,820 | $89,400est. | 57/100 | 58% | +4.8% |
| 542 | Geological Technicians, Except Hydrologic Technicians Engineering & Science · 6,980 workers |
$53,350 | $70,300est. | 59/100 | 56% | +3.6% |
| 542 | Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 9,900 workers |
$103,170 | $136,000est. | 55/100 | 54% | +2.4% |
| 542 | Career/Technical Education Teachers, Middle School Education · 17K workers |
$65,030 | $85,700est. | 39/100 | 47% | −0.5% |
| 542 | Photographers Film & Video · 52K workers |
$44,660 | $58,900est. | 45/100 | 45% | −0.7% |
| 542 | Food Preparation Workers Food Service · 894K workers |
$35,320 | $46,600est. | 42/100 | 30% | −3.0% |
| 542 | Pile Driver Operators Construction · 2,310 workers |
$73,300 | $96,600est. | 50/100 | 12% | −5.7% |
| 542 | Watch and Clock Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 1,310 workers |
$67,230 | $88,600est. | 40/100 | 48% | −0.3% |