Annual pay growth rate from the Shigoto Zukan model (base wage growth + labor demand + wage momentum − AI impact). (867 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395 | Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers Manufacturing & Repair · 7,940 workers |
$41,600 | $55,800est. | 38/100 | 35% | +1.3% |
| 395 | Cleaning, Washing, and Metal Pickling Equipment Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 15K workers |
$43,530 | $58,400est. | 49/100 | 48% | +3.4% |
| 395 | Hoist and Winch Operators Logistics · 2,600 workers |
$56,450 | $75,700est. | 55/100 | 27% | +0.2% |
| 395 | Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders Logistics · 11K workers |
$58,870 | $78,900est. | 54/100 | 45% | +2.8% |
| 405 | Industrial Production Managers Management & Consulting · 246K workers |
$126,060 | $168,900est. | 56/100 | 45% | +2.6% |
| 405 | Surveying and Mapping Technicians Engineering & Science · 58K workers |
$54,240 | $72,700est. | 61/100 | 54% | +5.8% |
| 405 | Dishwashers Food Service · 477K workers |
$34,810 | $46,700est. | 43/100 | 20% | −1.0% |
| 405 | Pipelayers Construction · 33K workers |
$49,000 | $65,600est. | 41/100 | 7% | −3.1% |
| 405 | Radio, Cellular, and Tower Equipment Installers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 11K workers |
$63,520 | $85,100est. | 50/100 | 35% | +1.2% |
| 405 | Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers | — | —est. | 42/100 | 51% | — |
| 405 | Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 61K workers |
$47,720 | $63,900est. | 42/100 | 32% | +0.7% |
| 412 | Computer and Information Research Scientists IT & Software · 37K workers |
$140,300 | $187,800est. | 64/100 | 81% | +21.8% |
| 412 | Biological Technicians Engineering & Science · 70K workers |
$57,510 | $77,000est. | 62/100 | 57% | +7.4% |
| 412 | Architecture Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 7,700 workers |
$96,870 | $129,700est. | 61/100 | 46% | +2.6% |
| 412 | Actors Entertainment · 55K workers |
— | —est. | 48/100 | 29% | +0.0% |
| 412 | Musicians and Singers Music · 36K workers |
— | —est. | 63/100 | 30% | +0.3% |
| 412 | First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers · 114K workers |
$48,590 | $65,100est. | 57/100 | 55% | +6.3% |
| 412 | Parking Attendants Transportation · 138K workers |
$35,150 | $47,100est. | 40/100 | 42% | +2.0% |
| 419 | Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers Management & Consulting · 221K workers |
$107,230 | $143,500est. | 66/100 | 55% | +6.1% |
| 419 | Marine Engineers and Naval Architects Engineering & Science · 8,250 workers |
$112,230 | $150,200est. | 61/100 | 56% | +6.7% |
| 419 | Electro-Mechanical and Mechatronics Technologists and Technicians Engineering & Science · 16K workers |
$73,900 | $98,800est. | 55/100 | 48% | +2.6% |
| 419 | Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 8,920 workers |
$98,700 | $132,000est. | 61/100 | 49% | +2.9% |
| 419 | Biological Science Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 50K workers |
$84,620 | $113,200est. | 68/100 | 57% | +7.3% |
| 419 | Social Work Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 13K workers |
$77,570 | $103,700est. | 58/100 | 48% | +2.6% |
| 419 | Crematory Operators · 2,970 workers |
$43,650 | $58,400est. | 49/100 | — | +3.1% |
| 419 | Concierges Hospitality · 49K workers |
$38,950 | $52,100est. | 46/100 | 47% | +2.6% |
| 419 | Childcare Workers Social Services · 519K workers |
$34,980 | $46,800est. | 48/100 | 16% | −2.0% |
| 419 | Tire Builders Manufacturing & Repair · 21K workers |
$57,390 | $76,800est. | 44/100 | 35% | +0.8% |
| 419 | Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians Transportation · 13K workers |
$35,450 | $47,400est. | 41/100 | 22% | −1.3% |
| 430 | Biochemists and Biophysicists Engineering & Science · 34K workers |
$127,410 | $170,200est. | 68/100 | 66% | +12.3% |
| 430 | Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education Education · 109K workers |
$62,680 | $83,800est. | 55/100 | 29% | −0.3% |
| 430 | Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education Education · 1.4M workers |
$63,970 | $85,500est. | 46/100 | 28% | −0.4% |
| 430 | Bailiffs Protective Services · 17K workers |
$56,600 | $75,600est. | 48/100 | 19% | −1.9% |
| 430 | Cooks, Fast Food Food Service · 641K workers |
$30,890 | $41,300est. | 41/100 | 35% | +0.6% |
| 430 | Agricultural Inspectors Agriculture · 14K workers |
$49,940 | $66,700est. | 52/100 | 47% | +2.3% |
| 430 | Musical Instrument Repairers and Tuners Manufacturing & Repair · 5,380 workers |
$46,420 | $62,000est. | 47/100 | 44% | +1.9% |
| 430 | Locomotive Engineers Transportation · 33K workers |
$81,410 | $108,800est. | 42/100 | 34% | +0.5% |
| 430 | Gas Compressor and Gas Pumping Station Operators Logistics · 3,510 workers |
$77,320 | $103,300est. | 50/100 | 46% | +2.1% |
| 439 | General and Operations Managers Management & Consulting · 3.5M workers |
$105,770 | $141,200est. | 62/100 | 54% | +5.0% |
| 439 | Food Scientists and Technologists Engineering & Science · 13K workers |
$88,720 | $118,400est. | 60/100 | 56% | +6.2% |
| 439 | Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 13K workers |
$77,270 | $103,200est. | 54/100 | 47% | +2.2% |
| 439 | Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School Education · 111K workers |
$66,270 | $88,500est. | 47/100 | 30% | −0.4% |
| 439 | Security Guards Protective Services · 1.3M workers |
$38,020 | $50,700est. | 41/100 | 39% | +0.9% |
| 439 | Sales and Related Workers, All Other Sales · 93K workers |
$48,280 | $64,400est. | 50/100 | 40% | +1.1% |
| 439 | Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 176K workers |
$49,230 | $65,700est. | 48/100 | 50% | +2.6% |
| 446 | Food Science Technicians Engineering & Science · 15K workers |
$52,130 | $69,500est. | 60/100 | 54% | +4.8% |
| 446 | Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 114K workers |
$63,820 | $85,100est. | 47/100 | 32% | −0.3% |
| 446 | Craft Artists Design · 4,580 workers |
$46,080 | $61,500est. | 51/100 | 47% | +2.0% |
| 446 | Media and Communication Equipment Workers, All Other Film & Video · 12K workers |
$70,720 | $94,300est. | 47/100 | 45% | +1.6% |
| 446 | Physicians, Pathologists Healthcare · 11K workers |
$312,400 | $416,600est. | 59/100 | 54% | +4.8% |