Annual pay growth rate from the Shigoto Zukan model (base wage growth + labor demand + wage momentum − AI impact). (867 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | Firefighters Protective Services · 346K workers |
$59,280 | $82,000est. | 58/100 | 8% | +3.7% |
| 100 | Pest Control Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 103K workers |
$45,250 | $62,600est. | 60/100 | 20% | +5.5% |
| 100 | First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers Construction · 812K workers |
$79,920 | $110,600est. | 71/100 | 16% | +5.0% |
| 100 | Carpenters Construction · 670K workers |
$60,580 | $83,800est. | 67/100 | 9% | +3.9% |
| 100 | Roustabouts, Oil and Gas Construction · 45K workers |
$46,960 | $65,000est. | 63/100 | 7% | +3.6% |
| 100 | Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors · 9,760 workers |
$58,170 | $80,500est. | 60/100 | 44% | +9.2% |
| 100 | Passenger Attendants Transportation · 27K workers |
$37,720 | $52,200est. | 60/100 | 23% | +6.0% |
| 108 | Dentists, General Healthcare · 124K workers |
$170,950 | $236,200est. | 69/100 | 23% | +5.7% |
| 108 | Optometrists Healthcare · 43K workers |
$136,570 | $188,800est. | 65/100 | 48% | +9.5% |
| 108 | Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 953K workers |
$39,150 | $54,100est. | 59/100 | 16% | +4.7% |
| 108 | Animal Trainers · 19K workers |
$39,990 | $55,300est. | 65/100 | 13% | +4.2% |
| 108 | Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators Construction · 478K workers |
$59,850 | $82,700est. | 58/100 | 15% | +4.6% |
| 113 | Construction Managers Management & Consulting · 380K workers |
$114,990 | $158,900est. | 79/100 | 46% | +9.1% |
| 113 | Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technologists and Technicians Engineering & Science · 11K workers |
$82,890 | $114,400est. | 67/100 | 54% | +11.9% |
| 113 | Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education Education · 479K workers |
$38,140 | $52,700est. | 62/100 | 16% | +4.5% |
| 113 | Orderlies Caregiving · 52K workers |
$38,290 | $52,900est. | 57/100 | 13% | +4.0% |
| 113 | First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers Protective Services · 99K workers |
$93,530 | $129,200est. | 67/100 | 10% | +3.7% |
| 113 | Bartenders Food Service · 756K workers |
$34,340 | $47,400est. | 58/100 | 20% | +5.0% |
| 113 | Couriers and Messengers Logistics · 69K workers |
$39,200 | $54,100est. | 60/100 | 40% | +8.0% |
| 113 | Continuous Mining Machine Operators Construction · 14K workers |
$61,810 | $85,300est. | 61/100 | 8% | +3.2% |
| 121 | Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other Engineering & Science · 3,720 workers |
$81,490 | $112,400est. | 62/100 | 35% | +7.1% |
| 121 | Prosthodontists Healthcare · 870 workers |
$311,180 | $429,300est. | 82/100 | 26% | +5.8% |
| 121 | Structural Iron and Steel Workers Construction · 68K workers |
$62,780 | $86,600est. | 62/100 | 8% | +3.1% |
| 121 | Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Manufacturing & Repair · 96K workers |
$39,630 | $54,700est. | 62/100 | 23% | +5.3% |
| 125 | Personal Service Managers, All Other Management & Consulting · 10K workers |
$69,770 | $96,200est. | 76/100 | 30% | +6.2% |
| 125 | Athletes and Sports Competitors Sports & Fitness · 15K workers |
$66,710 | $92,000est. | 73/100 | 25% | +5.5% |
| 125 | Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric Healthcare · 14K workers |
$358,550 | $494,300est. | 69/100 | 15% | +4.0% |
| 125 | Surgeons, All Other Healthcare · 25K workers |
$414,010 | $570,700est. | 65/100 | 15% | +4.0% |
| 125 | Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers, All Other Food Service · 85K workers |
$35,840 | $49,400est. | 63/100 | 25% | +5.5% |
| 125 | Painters, Construction and Maintenance Construction · 225K workers |
$49,400 | $68,100est. | 66/100 | 9% | +3.0% |
| 125 | Construction and Related Workers, All Other | — | —est. | 85/100 | 15% | — |
| 125 | Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas Construction · 19K workers |
$60,190 | $83,000est. | 56/100 | 12% | +3.6% |
| 125 | Commercial Divers Manufacturing & Repair · 3,450 workers |
$72,990 | $100,600est. | 70/100 | 21% | +4.8% |
| 134 | Magnetic Resonance Imaging Technologists Healthcare · 43K workers |
$95,480 | $131,500est. | 60/100 | 41% | +7.7% |
| 134 | Phlebotomists Caregiving · 144K workers |
$45,230 | $62,300est. | 60/100 | 35% | +6.8% |
| 134 | Protective Service Workers, All Other Protective Services · 82K workers |
$42,540 | $58,600est. | 66/100 | 10% | +3.0% |
| 134 | Cooks, All Other Food Service · 19K workers |
$37,690 | $51,900est. | 63/100 | 25% | +5.2% |
| 134 | First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 131K workers |
$58,430 | $80,500est. | 70/100 | 16% | +4.0% |
| 134 | Costume Attendants · 6,510 workers |
$50,400 | $69,400est. | 67/100 | 29% | +5.9% |
| 134 | Plasterers and Stucco Masons Construction · 19K workers |
$57,660 | $79,400est. | 56/100 | 8% | +2.8% |
| 134 | Highway Maintenance Workers Construction · 155K workers |
$50,260 | $69,200est. | 52/100 | 13% | +3.4% |
| 134 | Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs Transportation · 249K workers |
$37,290 | $51,400est. | 63/100 | 37% | +7.1% |
| 143 | Social and Human Service Assistants Social Services · 438K workers |
$45,930 | $63,200est. | 62/100 | 40% | +7.4% |
| 143 | Choreographers Entertainment · 2,860 workers |
$55,310 | $76,100est. | 71/100 | 12% | +3.1% |
| 143 | Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons Healthcare · 4,910 workers |
$352,220 | $484,400est. | 69/100 | 29% | +5.6% |
| 143 | Fast Food and Counter Workers Food Service · 3.9M workers |
$31,200 | $42,900est. | 57/100 | 30% | +5.8% |
| 143 | Gambling Dealers · 84K workers |
$34,320 | $47,200est. | 57/100 | 14% | +3.4% |
| 143 | Barbers Beauty & Personal Care · 15K workers |
$38,210 | $52,600est. | 60/100 | 13% | +3.3% |
| 143 | Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall Construction · 44K workers |
$49,120 | $67,500est. | 48/100 | 8% | +2.4% |
| 143 | Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters Construction · 44K workers |
$42,360 | $58,300est. | 54/100 | 7% | +2.4% |