Annual pay growth rate from the Shigoto Zukan model (base wage growth + labor demand + wage momentum − AI impact). (867 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194 | Maintenance and Repair Workers, General Manufacturing & Repair · 1.5M workers |
$49,590 | $67,900est. | 60/100 | 26% | +4.2% |
| 202 | Social Workers, All Other Social Services · 63K workers |
$71,900 | $98,300est. | 62/100 | 15% | +2.3% |
| 202 | Self-Enrichment Teachers Education · 332K workers |
$46,800 | $64,000est. | 61/100 | 22% | +3.5% |
| 202 | Brickmasons and Blockmasons Construction · 53K workers |
$62,120 | $84,900est. | 54/100 | 7% | +1.1% |
| 202 | Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas Construction · 11K workers |
$58,620 | $80,200est. | 52/100 | 10% | +1.6% |
| 202 | Audiovisual Equipment Installers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$52,600 | $71,900est. | 61/100 | 32% | +4.8% |
| 202 | Automotive Body and Related Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 149K workers |
$54,890 | $75,100est. | 53/100 | 24% | +3.7% |
| 202 | Commercial Pilots Aviation · 48K workers |
$123,220 | $168,500est. | 73/100 | 34% | +5.2% |
| 209 | Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials Sports & Fitness · 16K workers |
$40,710 | $55,600est. | 61/100 | 35% | +5.2% |
| 209 | Tire Repairers and Changers Manufacturing & Repair · 108K workers |
$37,710 | $51,500est. | 52/100 | 23% | +3.4% |
| 211 | Neurologists Healthcare · 11K workers |
$248,560 | $339,200est. | 66/100 | 45% | +6.4% |
| 211 | Pediatric Surgeons Healthcare · 1,190 workers |
$559,030 | $763,200est. | 75/100 | 15% | +2.0% |
| 211 | Pharmacy Technicians Healthcare · 472K workers |
$45,750 | $62,400est. | 54/100 | 45% | +6.4% |
| 211 | Cooks, Private Household Food Service · 1,100 workers |
$47,940 | $65,400est. | 64/100 | 36% | +5.1% |
| 211 | First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers Agriculture · 28K workers |
$59,320 | $80,900est. | 68/100 | 28% | +3.8% |
| 211 | Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Construction · 206K workers |
$57,020 | $77,800est. | 45/100 | 13% | +1.6% |
| 211 | Service Unit Operators, Oil and Gas Construction · 43K workers |
$58,160 | $79,400est. | 52/100 | 9% | +1.1% |
| 211 | Rail Car Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 21K workers |
$67,530 | $92,100est. | 51/100 | 20% | +2.6% |
| 211 | Fiberglass Laminators and Fabricators Manufacturing & Repair · 16K workers |
$46,880 | $64,000est. | 53/100 | 32% | +4.6% |
| 211 | Bakers Manufacturing & Repair · 236K workers |
$37,160 | $50,700est. | 55/100 | 38% | +5.5% |
| 211 | Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers Manufacturing & Repair · 146K workers |
$38,300 | $52,300est. | 53/100 | 40% | +5.7% |
| 211 | Cooling and Freezing Equipment Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 6,900 workers |
$41,330 | $56,400est. | 57/100 | 42% | +5.9% |
| 211 | Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 33K workers |
$46,170 | $63,000est. | 59/100 | 41% | +5.8% |
| 211 | Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels Transportation · 37K workers |
$92,460 | $126,300est. | 68/100 | 28% | +4.0% |
| 225 | Legislators | — | —est. | 77/100 | 30% | — |
| 225 | Biological Scientists, All Other Engineering & Science · 56K workers |
$98,920 | $134,900est. | 62/100 | 35% | +4.7% |
| 225 | Nuclear Medicine Technologists Healthcare · 17K workers |
$101,370 | $138,300est. | 58/100 | 32% | +4.4% |
| 225 | Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants · 16K workers |
$36,300 | $49,500est. | 56/100 | 46% | +6.4% |
| 225 | Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas Construction · 13K workers |
$67,890 | $92,600est. | 57/100 | 9% | +0.8% |
| 225 | Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining Construction · 34K workers |
$57,430 | $78,300est. | 47/100 | 10% | +1.0% |
| 225 | Riggers Manufacturing & Repair · 23K workers |
$62,640 | $85,400est. | 53/100 | 29% | +3.9% |
| 225 | Sailors and Marine Oilers Transportation · 32K workers |
$51,520 | $70,300est. | 60/100 | 24% | +3.2% |
| 233 | Computer and Information Systems Managers Management & Consulting · 671K workers |
$175,140 | $238,600est. | 68/100 | 65% | +15.8% |
| 233 | Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except Gambling Management & Consulting · 38K workers |
$79,520 | $108,300est. | 70/100 | 45% | +6.0% |
| 233 | Logisticians Logistics · 251K workers |
$82,320 | $112,100est. | 68/100 | 68% | +17.6% |
| 233 | Business Operations Specialists, All Other Management & Consulting · 1.1M workers |
$83,050 | $113,200est. | 65/100 | 30% | +3.9% |
| 233 | Epidemiologists Engineering & Science · 12K workers |
$87,220 | $118,800est. | 60/100 | 70% | +18.7% |
| 233 | Religious Workers, All Other Social Services · 16K workers |
$45,280 | $61,700est. | 60/100 | 15% | +1.5% |
| 233 | Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten | — | —est. | 65/100 | 31% | — |
| 233 | Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers Design · 165K workers |
$39,390 | $53,600est. | 51/100 | 23% | +2.7% |
| 233 | Family Medicine Physicians Healthcare · 108K workers |
$244,180 | $332,800est. | 61/100 | 26% | +3.3% |
| 233 | Ophthalmologists, Except Pediatric Healthcare · 8,950 workers |
$300,080 | $408,700est. | 64/100 | 35% | +4.5% |
| 233 | Fire Inspectors and Investigators Protective Services · 14K workers |
$75,920 | $103,500est. | 66/100 | 32% | +4.2% |
| 233 | Waiters and Waitresses Food Service · 2.3M workers |
$35,230 | $48,000est. | 50/100 | 18% | +2.0% |
| 245 | Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners Management & Consulting · 143K workers |
$61,160 | $83,200est. | 66/100 | 45% | +5.8% |
| 245 | Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other Engineering & Science · 74K workers |
$62,280 | $84,800est. | 67/100 | 35% | +4.4% |
| 245 | Health Education Specialists Social Services · 66K workers |
$64,070 | $87,200est. | 64/100 | 43% | +5.6% |
| 245 | Teaching Assistants, Preschool, Elementary, Middle, and Secondary School, Except Special Education | — | —est. | 61/100 | 32% | — |
| 245 | Dentists, All Other Specialists Healthcare · 5,230 workers |
$224,990 | $306,100est. | 56/100 | 15% | +1.3% |
| 245 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Cleaning & Building Services · 2.2M workers |
$36,840 | $50,200est. | 50/100 | 20% | +2.2% |