Annual pay growth rate from the Shigoto Zukan model (base wage growth + labor demand + wage momentum − AI impact). (867 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245 | Morticians, Undertakers, and Funeral Arrangers · 25K workers |
$55,010 | $74,900est. | 59/100 | 26% | +3.0% |
| 245 | Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers Manufacturing & Repair · 198K workers |
$34,890 | $47,500est. | 51/100 | 35% | +4.3% |
| 253 | Radiologic Technologists and Technicians Healthcare · 230K workers |
$80,110 | $109,000est. | 54/100 | 40% | +5.0% |
| 253 | Building Cleaning Workers, All Other Cleaning & Building Services · 17K workers |
$44,040 | $59,900est. | 57/100 | 20% | +2.0% |
| 253 | First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services · 103K workers |
$48,560 | $66,000est. | 57/100 | 43% | +5.3% |
| 253 | Helpers--Electricians Construction · 64K workers |
$42,670 | $58,000est. | 50/100 | 11% | +0.6% |
| 253 | Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers Aviation · 104K workers |
$232,140 | $315,800est. | 74/100 | 53% | +8.3% |
| 253 | Ship Engineers Transportation · 8,400 workers |
$109,530 | $149,000est. | 67/100 | 25% | +2.7% |
| 259 | Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health Engineering & Science · 35K workers |
$55,090 | $74,900est. | 65/100 | 51% | +6.9% |
| 259 | Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians Healthcare · 63K workers |
$74,310 | $101,000est. | 52/100 | 33% | +3.7% |
| 259 | Genetic Counselors Healthcare · 3,740 workers |
$100,040 | $135,900est. | 65/100 | 57% | +10.4% |
| 259 | Nursing Assistants Caregiving · 1.4M workers |
$42,260 | $57,400est. | 53/100 | 26% | +2.6% |
| 259 | Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria Food Service · 441K workers |
$37,450 | $50,900est. | 51/100 | 27% | +2.8% |
| 259 | Animal Breeders Agriculture · 1,330 workers |
$51,130 | $69,400est. | 59/100 | 29% | +3.0% |
| 259 | Hazardous Materials Removal Workers Construction · 52K workers |
$49,450 | $67,200est. | 46/100 | 19% | +1.5% |
| 259 | Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door Manufacturing & Repair · 48K workers |
$74,340 | $101,000est. | 58/100 | 37% | +4.3% |
| 267 | Training and Development Specialists Management & Consulting · 458K workers |
$69,280 | $94,000est. | 66/100 | 58% | +10.8% |
| 267 | Engineers, All Other Engineering & Science · 154K workers |
$122,930 | $166,800est. | 57/100 | 35% | +3.7% |
| 267 | Agricultural Technicians Engineering & Science · 15K workers |
$49,630 | $67,300est. | 62/100 | 46% | +5.4% |
| 267 | Art, Drama, and Music Teachers, Postsecondary Education · 94K workers |
$78,620 | $106,700est. | 63/100 | 25% | +2.2% |
| 267 | Emergency Medicine Physicians Healthcare · 33K workers |
$335,550 | $455,500est. | 62/100 | 31% | +3.2% |
| 267 | Tour Guides and Escorts | — | —est. | 58/100 | 37% | — |
| 267 | Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators Construction · 20K workers |
$70,070 | $95,100est. | 47/100 | 20% | +1.5% |
| 267 | First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 618K workers |
$79,860 | $108,300est. | 58/100 | 38% | +4.1% |
| 267 | Motorcycle Mechanics Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$48,580 | $65,900est. | 55/100 | 24% | +2.1% |
| 267 | Medical Appliance Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 11K workers |
$48,030 | $65,200est. | 55/100 | 33% | +3.5% |
| 267 | Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity Transportation · 159K workers |
$59,050 | $80,100est. | 57/100 | 38% | +4.1% |
| 267 | Aircraft Service Attendants Transportation · 31K workers |
$40,450 | $54,900est. | 52/100 | 47% | +5.6% |
| 279 | Directors, Religious Activities and Education Social Services · 22K workers |
$52,100 | $70,600est. | 64/100 | 33% | +3.3% |
| 279 | Postsecondary Teachers, All Other Education · 150K workers |
$77,640 | $105,200est. | 57/100 | 25% | +2.0% |
| 279 | General Internal Medicine Physicians Healthcare · 67K workers |
$256,560 | $347,800est. | 62/100 | 38% | +4.0% |
| 279 | Psychiatric Aides Caregiving · 36K workers |
$44,910 | $60,900est. | 51/100 | 24% | +1.9% |
| 279 | Funeral Attendants · 31K workers |
$35,680 | $48,400est. | 51/100 | 29% | +2.6% |
| 279 | Personal Care and Service Workers, All Other · 60K workers |
$41,600 | $56,400est. | 66/100 | — | +5.9% |
| 279 | Helpers--Roofers Construction · 6,030 workers |
$44,160 | $59,900est. | 46/100 | 11% | −0.1% |
| 279 | Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment Manufacturing & Repair · 6,940 workers |
$84,890 | $115,100est. | 59/100 | 47% | +5.4% |
| 279 | Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 159K workers |
$48,250 | $65,400est. | 49/100 | 28% | +2.5% |
| 279 | Rail Transportation Workers, All Other Transportation · 1,120 workers |
$56,360 | $76,400est. | 57/100 | 40% | +4.4% |
| 289 | Special Education Teachers, All Other Education · 34K workers |
$76,580 | $103,700est. | 52/100 | 25% | +1.9% |
| 289 | Educational Instruction and Library Workers, All Other Education · 119K workers |
$50,890 | $68,900est. | 55/100 | 25% | +1.8% |
| 289 | Disc Jockeys, Except Radio Entertainment · 7,920 workers |
— | —est. | 61/100 | 38% | +3.8% |
| 289 | Opticians, Dispensing Healthcare · 74K workers |
$47,260 | $64,000est. | 49/100 | 40% | +4.2% |
| 289 | Cargo and Freight Agents Logistics · 98K workers |
$52,260 | $70,800est. | 55/100 | 51% | +6.2% |
| 289 | Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Manufacturing & Repair · 290K workers |
$61,770 | $83,700est. | 54/100 | 36% | +3.6% |
| 289 | Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers Logistics · 9,780 workers |
$61,770 | $83,700est. | 58/100 | 41% | +4.3% |
| 289 | Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors Logistics · 147K workers |
$49,690 | $67,300est. | 51/100 | 26% | +2.1% |
| 297 | Facilities Managers Management & Consulting · 156K workers |
$106,660 | $144,400est. | 66/100 | 44% | +4.6% |
| 297 | Social and Community Service Managers Management & Consulting · 209K workers |
$80,390 | $108,800est. | 66/100 | 53% | +7.2% |
| 297 | Child, Family, and School Social Workers Social Services · 393K workers |
$59,550 | $80,600est. | 58/100 | 43% | +4.4% |
| 297 | Social Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary, All Other Education · 17K workers |
$72,990 | $98,700est. | 53/100 | 25% | +1.6% |