Annual pay growth rate from the Shigoto Zukan model (base wage growth + labor demand + wage momentum − AI impact). (867 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 138K workers |
$79,870 | $109,900est. | 65/100 | 27% | +5.4% |
| 152 | Farm Labor Contractors Management & Consulting · 310 workers |
$58,460 | $80,300est. | 70/100 | 42% | +7.4% |
| 152 | Life Scientists, All Other Engineering & Science · 7,460 workers |
$93,750 | $128,800est. | 62/100 | 35% | +6.3% |
| 152 | Physicians, All Other Healthcare · 343K workers |
$265,930 | $365,500est. | 63/100 | 15% | +3.4% |
| 152 | Occupational Therapy Aides Caregiving · 4,310 workers |
$39,160 | $53,800est. | 57/100 | 17% | +3.6% |
| 152 | Physical Therapist Aides Caregiving · 48K workers |
$35,240 | $48,400est. | 56/100 | 20% | +4.0% |
| 152 | First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives Protective Services · 155K workers |
$106,040 | $145,700est. | 61/100 | 15% | +3.3% |
| 152 | Amusement and Recreation Attendants · 398K workers |
$32,150 | $44,200est. | 56/100 | 17% | +3.7% |
| 152 | Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers Construction · 83K workers |
$58,930 | $80,900est. | 56/100 | 10% | +2.5% |
| 152 | Extraction Workers, All Other Construction · 5,540 workers |
$57,010 | $78,400est. | 65/100 | 15% | +3.4% |
| 152 | Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$47,630 | $65,400est. | 52/100 | 31% | +5.7% |
| 152 | Airfield Operations Specialists Aviation · 15K workers |
$56,850 | $78,200est. | 63/100 | 44% | +7.8% |
| 152 | Light Truck Drivers Transportation · 983K workers |
$44,860 | $61,600est. | 56/100 | 35% | +6.3% |
| 152 | Motorboat Operators Transportation · 2,480 workers |
$47,520 | $65,300est. | 61/100 | 26% | +4.9% |
| 165 | Agents and Business Managers of Artists, Performers, and Athletes Management & Consulting · 13K workers |
$82,890 | $113,900est. | 74/100 | 52% | +9.7% |
| 165 | Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other Entertainment · 17K workers |
— | —est. | 77/100 | 25% | +4.7% |
| 165 | Crossing Guards and Flaggers Protective Services · 94K workers |
$38,100 | $52,300est. | 56/100 | 17% | +3.5% |
| 165 | First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers Food Service · 1.2M workers |
$44,080 | $60,500est. | 60/100 | 30% | +5.4% |
| 165 | Sheet Metal Workers Construction · 120K workers |
$61,800 | $84,800est. | 60/100 | 11% | +2.5% |
| 165 | Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics Manufacturing & Repair · 705K workers |
$50,620 | $69,500est. | 61/100 | 27% | +5.0% |
| 171 | Teaching Assistants, Special Education | — | —est. | 67/100 | 22% | — |
| 171 | Orthodontists Healthcare · 6,210 workers |
$289,140 | $396,700est. | 66/100 | 35% | +6.0% |
| 171 | Registered Nurses Healthcare · 3.4M workers |
$97,550 | $133,800est. | 61/100 | 33% | +5.6% |
| 171 | Psychiatrists Healthcare · 28K workers |
$281,870 | $386,700est. | 67/100 | 43% | +7.2% |
| 171 | Personal Care Aides | — | —est. | 59/100 | 22% | — |
| 171 | Transit and Railroad Police Protective Services · 4,390 workers |
$90,230 | $123,700est. | 60/100 | 17% | +3.2% |
| 171 | Food Servers, Nonrestaurant Food Service · 294K workers |
$35,360 | $48,500est. | 56/100 | 25% | +4.5% |
| 171 | Grounds Maintenance Workers, All Other Cleaning & Building Services · 14K workers |
$46,860 | $64,300est. | 63/100 | 20% | +3.7% |
| 171 | Agricultural Workers, All Other Agriculture · 3,620 workers |
$39,850 | $54,700est. | 65/100 | 20% | +3.8% |
| 171 | Semiconductor Processing Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 31K workers |
$51,430 | $70,500est. | 57/100 | 50% | +8.2% |
| 171 | Automotive and Watercraft Service Attendants Transportation · 102K workers |
$35,670 | $48,900est. | 55/100 | 21% | +3.8% |
| 171 | Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment Logistics · 380K workers |
$35,830 | $49,200est. | 54/100 | 21% | +3.9% |
| 183 | Food Service Managers Management & Consulting · 238K workers |
$69,390 | $95,100est. | 69/100 | 35% | +5.8% |
| 183 | Dancers Entertainment · 8,130 workers |
— | —est. | 67/100 | 11% | +2.2% |
| 183 | Dietitians and Nutritionists Healthcare · 78K workers |
$76,400 | $104,700est. | 63/100 | 48% | +7.7% |
| 183 | Anesthesiologists Healthcare · 39K workers |
$391,490 | $536,300est. | 66/100 | 21% | +3.6% |
| 183 | Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers Protective Services · 671K workers |
$76,210 | $104,400est. | 58/100 | 20% | +3.5% |
| 183 | Animal Control Workers Protective Services · 12K workers |
$45,660 | $62,600est. | 58/100 | 23% | +4.0% |
| 183 | Glaziers Construction · 58K workers |
$57,080 | $78,200est. | 51/100 | 9% | +1.9% |
| 183 | Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons Construction · 7,490 workers |
$40,470 | $55,500est. | 48/100 | 6% | +1.5% |
| 183 | Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$56,210 | $77,000est. | 61/100 | 26% | +4.4% |
| 183 | Motorboat Mechanics and Service Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 23K workers |
$57,550 | $78,900est. | 64/100 | 29% | +4.9% |
| 183 | Crane and Tower Operators Logistics · 43K workers |
$68,080 | $93,300est. | 59/100 | 22% | +3.8% |
| 194 | Managers, All Other Management & Consulting · 622K workers |
$141,900 | $194,300est. | 78/100 | 30% | +4.9% |
| 194 | Teaching Assistants, All Other | — | —est. | 75/100 | 25% | — |
| 194 | Home Health Aides | — | —est. | 54/100 | 25% | — |
| 194 | First-Line Supervisors of Protective Service Workers, All Other Protective Services · 21K workers |
$76,400 | $104,600est. | 60/100 | 10% | +1.9% |
| 194 | Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop Food Service · 433K workers |
$31,200 | $42,700est. | 54/100 | 21% | +3.4% |
| 194 | Floor Sanders and Finishers Construction · 3,720 workers |
$50,440 | $69,000est. | 52/100 | 8% | +1.4% |
| 194 | Helpers--Extraction Workers Construction · 6,700 workers |
$47,730 | $65,400est. | 52/100 | 9% | +1.7% |